Importance: A wide variety of novel medical diagnostics and devices are determined safe and effective by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) each year, but to our knowledge the literature lacks evidence documenting how long it takes to establish new Medicare coverage for these technologies. Objective: To measure time from FDA authorization to at least nominal Medicare coverage for technologies requiring a new reimbursement pathway. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this cross-sectional study, public databases were used to associate each technology to billing codes, determine the effective date of each code and Medicare coverage decisions, and stratify by the maturity of the Medicare coverage. At least nominal coverage was defined as achievement of explicit coverage milestones through a national coverage determination, local coverage determinations by Medicare administrative contractors, or by implicit coverage aligned to a new billing code. Characterization by product type (acute treatment, chronic or ongoing treatment, diagnostic assay, and diagnostic device), manufacturer size, and evidence level were assessed for association with coverage achievement. The study included new product applications authorized by the FDA through the premarket approval pathway, the de novo pathway, or with breakthrough designation in the 510(k) pathway from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019. Data analysis took place between May 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022. Main Outcome Measurement: Time from FDA authorization to the first coverage milestone. Results: Among 281 identified technologies in the total sample, 64 (23%) were deemed novel technologies based on the absence of coverage determinations and/or the use of temporary or miscellaneous billing codes. Twenty-eight of 64 technologies (44%) successfully achieved explicit or implicit coverage following FDA authorization. The median time to at least nominal coverage for the analysis cohort was 5.7 years (90% CI, 4.4-NA years). Analysis of time-to-coverage data highlighted company size (log-rank P[removed].
